Tag: Russian

Wrong about Russia

~ Jeremy ~ Leave a comment
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I am surprised that the Russia situation seems to have stepped back from the abyss. I thought that once Wagner started advancing on Moscow that there was no turning back. It appears I was wrong about this. I would love to know that reassurances were given to Prigozhin that he won’t fall out a window. Hopefully, the situation gave some advantage to Ukraine.

I do think that the last 24 or so hours have shown that there are underlying tensions in the Russian state. We will see if Putin can suppress or heal these tensions or will the situation slip out of his control.

Russia Deja Vu

~ Jeremy ~ Leave a comment

Just under 30 years ago, there was a Coup attempt in Russia. While the causes of the current Wagner situation are quite different than that event, it shows, along with the 1991 coup, that there are deep issues in the Russian nation, and the tectonic plates of the Russian power structure may be shifting once again.

I am not sure what the outcome of this will be, or even what I hope will happen. I am worried that it is going to get far more violent and dangerous than these previous events. I hope I am wrong, but fear I am not. I will be delighted to be wrong, but there is a history in Russia of unpopular wars causing revolts.